Sunday, September 28, 2008

THIS IS GETTING REALLY UGLY

Whether you turn on the news or open the newspaper, it's clear there is an ever growing deterioration in the mortgage industry. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have been taken over and bailed out by our government. On Friday, WAMU or Washington Mutual became the largest thrift bank to fail in United States history. Remember, IndyMac Bancorp was recently seized by the FDIC and OTS a few months ago, and it was considered one of the biggest bank failures in U.S. history. WAMU, like IndyMac, did not have a problem with being well capitalized but rather they suffered a blow to liquidity after depositors withdrew BILLIONS in deposits in fear the banks would not be able to weather the financial storm.

I've talked about Fear and the damage it causes at length in my blogs, and it's clear it has reared it's ugly head again. A run on the bank, as seen with WAMU, is only considered prudent if you have amounts in excess of $100,000 that would not be covered by FDIC insurance. Depositors with $100,000 or less are fully insured by the FDIC and are not at all at risk of losing a dime. This ignorance of the deposit protection offered by the FDIC has again led to liquidity squeezes that no bank, regardless of size, can bear. Even Investment Banks like Bear Sterns and Lehman Brothers have collapsed as a result of panic withdrawal of funds.

Real Estate Investors Beware. The rules are changing as you read this sentence. If you intend to take advantage of short sales and foreclosures, know that the government is passing a $700 billion bailout for the banks to supposedly unfreeze the credit markets. You and I, the tax payers, have just been hit in the gut again by what is turning out to be a very socialist style of governing. The free market place which allows you and I to invest at prices the market will bear is about to be replaced with pricing the government feels is "fair". This basically means our government is going to buy up all of the wholesale properties from the bank's books with absolutely no other competition, at tax payers' expense. You, the real estate investor, will now have to buy at much higher prices because our government is now the "middle man" with plans to get its cut off the top. I really question the government's interference with free market capitalism.

Suggestion... buy now if you're able. I really think the profit in buying low and selling high is going to be a one man show( our government ) in the near term. The novice real estate investor is going to face a more difficult investing climate with profit deterioration on the front end of the purchase of government owned properties. Deals are available NOW...go get them before our government does.